Scenario management plays a vital role in a world of irrelevant budgets and inaccurate forecasts.

2020 was a year of major disruptions for the business world. But whether your organisation suffered or thrived, the COVID-19 pandemic was a chance to add value to your business.

Michael gives an insightful presentation on FP&A Scenario Planning: Forecasting in the Uncertainty.

To bring some perspective to this position of AI within the context of FP&A activities, the FP&A Trends Group recently conducted research examining how artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) were being used within the profession. They carried out interviews with thought leaders and academic professionals and examined case studies of organizations that were using AI and ML successfully.

This paper is a result of that research, looking specifically at how, when combined with human intelligence, AI can transform the role of FP&A.

The New Normal means that planning is no longer an extrapolation of the past. Similarly, business drivers that worked last year may no longer be relevant for the future. The reality is that organizations face multiple possible futures. Each one can be triggered by a crisis or an unforeseen event that will require the company to adjust or even change course.

So how should FP&A adapt to this New Normal?

Today’s uncertain times mean that it is no longer good enough for organizations to have one fixed plan and forecast. Historic data by itself cannot help predict the future, nor can classical planning methods and standard variance analysis provide sufficient information to manage a business. It is time to change and adopt a fact-based mindset towards business decisions.