Skip to main content
Home
The Online Resource for Modern FP&A Professionals
Please register to receive the latest FP&A news, updates and tips Login

Main menu

  • Home
  • FP&A Insights
    • FP&A Trends Digest
    • FP&A Trends Research
    • FP&A Trends Insight Paper
    • FP&A Trends Survey
    • Short Videos
    • Our Contributors
  • FP&A Events
    • International FP&A Board
    • FP&A Trends Webinars
    • Digital FP&A Circles
  • AI FP&A Committee
    • Introduction
    • Members
    • Resources
    • Meetings
  • FP&A Tools
    • FP&A Trends Maturity Model
  • About Us
    • Company Policy
    • Privacy Policy
    • Editorial Guidelines
    • Our Ambassadors
    • Our Sponsors & Partners
    • Contact Us
image banner
From Black Box to Baseline: Making Predictive AI Work for FP&A
October 24, 2025

By Olga Rudakova, FP&A Board Ambassador

FP&A Tags
Digital FP&A Events Insights

With everything changing so quickly, finance teams can no longer afford to remain slow or rigid; agility in FP&A is crucial. Organizations face increasing pressure to respond swiftly to change, that is why they need to forecast accurately and move from insight to strategic action. The latest Digital North American FP&A Circle, titled “From Forecast to Action: Building Predictive Power into FP&A”, brought together finance leaders from Sony, Mars, High Liner Foods, and Wolters Kluwer CCH Tagetik to explore what it takes to embed predictive planning into FP&A processes.

From strategy-driven forecasting at Sony to AI-powered modeling at Mars, and from harmonized planning at High Liner Foods to scalable technology platforms, this session offered a variety of approaches and different angles on the topic. This article summarizes key takeaways and explores how predictive FP&A can empower finance teams.

Connecting Forecasts with Strategy

Yohei Kawazoe, Head of Corporate Strategy at Sony Europe, opened the session with a compelling statement: Planning and forecasting are not a strategy as such, but rather tools. Strategy and planning are closely connected, but it’s essential to pay attention to the planning horizon in relation to real market volatility.

Drawing on his experience leading turnaround strategies across Japan, the US, and Europe, Yohei outlined a disciplined monthly forecasting cadence at Sony Europe that supports both proactive short-term decision-making and alignment with strategy.

Figure 1

Key to Sony’s approach is linking short-term forecasts with mid- and long-term plans. Forecasts are not isolated exercises but part of a continuous planning framework anchored in a rolling three-year mid-range plan. Monthly forecasts, initiated just two days after the period close, allow for a quick response to market developments.

Yohei warned against the "planning trap" — an overemphasis on the planning process that affects execution. To avoid this, Sony emphasizes balance: discipline without rigidity, and speed without sacrificing strategic direction. 

His closing insight: technology is an enabler, but value is unlocked through people — specifically, their insights, interpersonal skills, and ability to connect data with informed decisions.

Poll Insight: How Frequently Does Your Organization Update Forecasts?

44% of respondents update forecasts monthly, 7% bi-monthly, while 40% do so quarterly or less. Only 9% reported continuous or agile updates, highlighting that there is a significant opportunity for improvement.

Figure 2

Building Predictive Power into FP&A at Mars

Oscar Lanner, Senior Director, Corporate FP&A at Mars, shared Mars’ journey to embed AI into forecasting processes. What began as a proof of concept 4-5 years ago has evolved into a scalable enterprise solution deployed across more than 40 business entities in the Mars environment. With forecast accuracy exceeding 95% across key metrics for P&L and Cash Flow, AI has significantly reduced manual effort and enabled scenario modeling and reporting at varying levels of granularity.

Figure 3

Despite this success, adoption was not immediate. Many finance associates were afraid of the "black box" nature of AI forecasts and preferred their old Excel-based models. Oscar emphasized the importance of transparency and education.

Mars now integrates AI forecasts into its planning processes as a baseline, allowing finance teams to focus on value-adding analysis and strategic conversations. The plan is to sharpen AI forecasts for future adoption, including:

  • Demystify AI Forecasting
  • Increase visibility into Drivers
  • Engage business and stakeholders in the design
  • Launch holistic change management to drive adoption 

Oscar believes that by doing so, Mars will be able to bring the tool closer to the actual users, including finance users, as well as their own management, who will be more comfortable using the machine for their forecasts.

Poll Insight: What Stage is Your Team at in Implementing AI in Planning?

Nearly half of the audience (48%) reported that they haven’t started with AI yet. Another 33% are in the early stages of experimentation with AI, while 13% have partially implemented AI in specific areas. Only 6% of respondents indicated that AI is fully embedded into their FP&A processes.

Figure 4

Harmonizing Planning in a Volatile Environment

Tammy Nisi, Director of FP&A Retail & Food Service North America at High Liner Foods, focused on the challenges of planning in an environment marked by inflation, supply chain instability, and evolving consumer behavior. At High Liner Foods, agility means harmonizing inputs from sales, marketing, and operations into a coherent forecasting process that reflects both internal drivers and market dynamics.

One of Tammy's key strategies is scenario planning based on cross-functional inputs. By integrating multiple perspectives, her team can better anticipate risks and opportunities. FP&A teams are no longer just number crunchers; they need to break down silos with other departments to truly understand and shape the financial forecast.

Tammy also highlighted the importance of forecast granularity: planning by channel, customer segment, and product category, to ensure relevance and precision.

Figure 5

Tammy reinforced that flexibility and responsiveness are not just about models; they require strong collaboration and a clear understanding of the business. 

Her final point: The future of FP&A is in predictive, harmonized, and agile planning.

Poll Insight: How Would You Describe Your Organization’s Current Level of Agility in Planning?

43% of respondents identified as moderately agile, while 37% described their teams as somewhat responsive. Meanwhile, 16% admitted to being very reactive, and only 4% considered their planning approach to be highly adaptive and forward-looking. These results suggest that while many teams are making strides toward agility, few have fully achieved a proactive, future-ready planning mindset.

Figure 6

AI-Enabled Predictive Planning Through Customer Case Studies

Dominic Nguyen, FP&A Technology Advisor at Wolters Kluwer CCH Tagetik, highlighted the shift from static, manual forecasting to dynamic, AI-powered planning. He stressed that while budgeting is tactical, forecasting must be ongoing, fast, and strategic — enabled by technology but still reliant on human insight.

He shared three case studies:

  • An automotive company used predictive planning to reach 98% forecast accuracy.
  • A manufacturer reduced forecasting time across 167 products to just two hours.
  • A large retail company used predictive planning to get to 99.6% accuracy for he full-year forecast

Figure 7

Modern planning tools significantly reduce manual preparation, speed up close cycles, and improve data integrity. They enhance governance by reducing the need for manual intervention, while also enabling a shift from retrospective reporting to proactive storytelling that supports better executive decision-making. Most importantly, they empower forward-looking planning without the need for constant manual recalibration.

Conclusion

This webinar has demonstrated that predictive power in FP&A requires speed, flexibility, proactiveness, and technology enablement. Organizations must connect planning to strategy, embed AI into planning without losing sight of human judgment, and prioritize collaboration with stakeholders.

AI adoption remains very low; FP&A teams play a critical role in change management and educating the rest of the business. The journey from forecast to action demands not only better forecasts, but a harmonized decision-making, planning and forecasting process supported by technology.

 

To watch the full webinar recording, please check out this link.

The full text is available for registered users. Please register to view the rest of the article.
  • Log In or Register

Related articles

Manoj-Kumar-Vandanapu-Raghavendra-Boorisetty-AI-Agents
From Transcripts to Strategy: AI Agents Unlock FP&A Foresight
October 2, 2025

In this article, the authors show how AI agents can turn messy earnings call transcripts into...

Read more
Robbert-Zillesen-Forecasting-Shift.jpg
The Forecasting Shift: From Excel to AI-Driven Precision
July 24, 2025

In this article, explore how FP&A teams are using AI-powered forecasting models like Prophet and XGBoost...

Read more
vineet-jain-ai-Forecasting-Analytics-Focus
Forecasting Reinvented: How Agentic AI Is Powering the Next Generation of FP&A
June 5, 2025

In this article, discover how Agentic AI is revolutionising FP&A by automating forecasting, budgeting, and variance...

Read more
Prashanth-Southekal-Staying-Ahead-Game-Predictive-Analytics
Staying Ahead of the Game with FP&A Predictive Analytics
April 17, 2025

A practical guide showing how predictive analytics is transforming FP&A teams — from descriptive insights to...

Read more
Richard-Morris-PPF-Main
Navigating the Future with Predictive Planning and Forecasting: Are You Ready?
July 18, 2024

In this article, the author outlines how implementing Predictive Planning and Forecasting can help FP&A professionals...

Read more
Carl-Seidman-Agile-Planning-And-Predictive-Analytics
FP&A of the Future: Agile Planning and Predictive Analytics
February 3, 2023

The question many organisations currently have and will have in the future is: “how do we...

Read more
+

Subscribe to
FP&A Trends Digest

We will regularly update you on the latest trends and developments in FP&A. Take the opportunity to have articles written by finance thought leaders delivered directly to your inbox; watch compelling webinars; connect with like-minded professionals; and become a part of our global community.

Create new account

Event Calendar

Pagination

  • Previous
  • October 2025
  • Next
Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa
28
29
30
1
2
3
4
 
 
 
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Transforming FP&A Together: Human & AI Synergy
 
From What-If to What’s Next: Scenario Management for Modern FP&A
 
Dynamic Shift: Mastering Predictive Planning & Forecasting
 
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
From Insight to Impact: FP&A Business Partnering in the Age of AI
 
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Creating Your Transformation Map with the FP&A Trends Maturity Model
 
From Forecast to Action: Building Predictive Power into FP&A
 
Moving from FP&A to Extended Planning and Analysis (xP&A)
 
26
27
28
29
30
31
1
The FP&A Analytics Playbook
 
 
All events for the year

Future Meetings

The FP&A Trends Webinar: The FP&A Analytics Playbook
The FP&A Trends Webinar The FP&A Analytics Playbook

October 29, 2025

The Face-to-Face Zurich FP&A Board: Debunking FP&A Myths: Agile Strategies for Forecasts and Scenarios
The Face-to-Face Zurich FP&A Board Transforming FP&A Together: Human & AI Synergy

November 4, 2025

The Digital Nordic & Benelux & UKI FP&A Circle: First Steps into AI in FP&A: Getting Started Without Getting Overwhelmed
The Digital EMEA FP&A Circle First Steps into AI in FP&A: Getting Started Without Getting Overwhelmed

November 5, 2025

The Face-to-Face Munich FP&A Board: Creating Your Transformation Map with the FP&A Trends Maturity Model
The Face-to-Face Munich FP&A Board Creating Your Transformation Map with the FP&A Trends Maturity Model

November 11, 2025

The FP&A Trends Webinar: Mastering Data in FP&A – Building Analytical Capabilities for Strategic Growth and Informed Decision-Making
The FP&A Trends Webinar Mastering Data in FP&A: Turning Analytics into Strategic Advantage

November 12, 2025

The Face-to-Face Copenhagen FP&A Board
The Face-to-Face Copenhagen FP&A Board Creating Your Transformation Map with the FP&A Trends Maturity Model

November 18, 2025

The Face-to-Face Riyadh FP&A Board: FP&A Storytelling in a Data-Driven World
The Face-to-Face Riyadh FP&A Board FP&A Storytelling in a Data-Driven World

November 24, 2025

The Face-to-Face Dubai FP&A Board: From Insight to Impact: FP&A Business Partnering in Action
The Face-to-Face Dubai FP&A Board From Insight to Impact: FP&A Business Partnering in Action

November 26, 2025

The FP&A Trends Webinar: FP&A 2026+: Top 5 Trends Through the AI Lens
The FP&A Trends Webinar Visionary Trends in FP&A: A Strategic Look Toward 2030

December 4, 2025

AI-FPA
AI in FP&A
Data and Analytics
Data & Analytics
esg
ESG in FP&A
FP&A Case Studies
FP&A Case Studies
FP&A Research
FP&A Research
General
General
Integrated FP&A
Integrated FP&A
People and Culture
People and Culture
Process
Process
Technology
Technology

Homepage – Acme Corp

Please register to receive the latest FP&A news, updates and tips.

info@fpa-trends.com​

Visit our LinkedIn page       Visit our Twitter profile       Watch our YouTube channel

Foot menu

  • FP&A Insights
  • FP&A Board
  • FP&A Videos

Footer countries

  • Amsterdam
  • Austin
  • Boston
  • Brisbane
  • Brussels
  • Chicago
  • Copenhagen
  • Dubai
  • Frankfurt
  • Geneva
  • Helsinki
  • Hong Kong
  • Houston
  • Kuala Lumpur
  • London Board
  • London (Circle)
  • Melbourne
  • Miami
  • Milan
  • Munich
  • New York
  • Paris
  • Perth
  • Riyadh
  • San Francisco
  • Seattle
  • Shanghai
  • Singapore
  • Stockholm
  • Sydney
  • Tokyo
  • Toronto
  • Washington D.C.
  • Zurich

Copyright © 2025 fpa-trends.com. All rights reserved.

0